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Electric vs Petrol: Total Cost of Ownership Analysis for UK Drivers

Published: 1 August 2025 | By: Dr. Emma Clarke, Automotive Economics Researcher

With electric vehicle prices falling and petrol costs remaining volatile, the financial crossover point has arrived sooner than expected. Our comprehensive analysis examines when electric vehicles become the smarter financial choice for UK drivers.

The Current Landscape

In 2025, the UK automotive market has reached a pivotal moment. Electric vehicle list prices have dropped by an average of 23% since 2023, while petrol costs have stabilised around £1.45 per litre. Government incentives, improved charging infrastructure, and technological advances have fundamentally shifted the total cost of ownership equation.

Purchase Price Analysis

Electric Petrol

Entry-Level Segment (£20,000-£30,000)

Electric Examples

  • MG4 SE: £26,995
  • Ora Funky Cat: £31,995
  • BYD Dolphin: £25,490

Petrol Equivalents

  • Nissan Micra: £16,995
  • Ford Fiesta: £19,995
  • Vauxhall Corsa: £18,990

Price Gap: Electric vehicles typically cost £7,000-£12,000 more upfront

Family Segment (£30,000-£50,000)

Electric Examples

  • Tesla Model 3: £42,990
  • BMW i4: £44,915
  • Hyundai Ioniq 6: £39,995

Petrol Equivalents

  • BMW 3 Series: £37,905
  • Audi A4: £36,970
  • Mercedes C-Class: £38,990

Price Gap: Electric vehicles cost £3,000-£8,000 more upfront

Running Cost Breakdown

Fuel vs Electricity Costs

Annual Energy Costs (12,000 miles/year)

Electric Vehicle

Home Charging (80%): £456/year
(Off-peak rate: 7.5p/kWh, efficiency: 3.5 mi/kWh)

Public Charging (20%): £182/year
(Rapid charging: 45p/kWh)

Total: £638/year

Petrol Vehicle

Petrol (40 mpg): £1,740/year
(£1.45/litre average)

Total: £1,740/year

Annual Savings with Electric: £1,102

Maintenance and Servicing

Electric vehicles require significantly less maintenance due to fewer moving parts:

Electric Vehicle Annual Costs

  • Service intervals: 12-24 months
  • Basic service: £150-£250
  • Brake pads: Last 2-3x longer
  • No oil changes required
  • Minimal engine maintenance

Average: £180/year

Petrol Vehicle Annual Costs

  • Service intervals: 6-12 months
  • Basic service: £200-£400
  • Oil changes: £60-£120 each
  • Filters, belts, spark plugs
  • Exhaust system maintenance

Average: £420/year

Insurance Costs

Insurance costs have equalised in 2025, with electric vehicles no longer carrying the significant premium they once did:

  • Electric vehicles: £620-£890/year (Group 15-25 average)
  • Petrol vehicles: £580-£850/year (Group 12-23 average)
  • Gap: Electric vehicles typically £40-£80 more annually

Depreciation Analysis

Depreciation patterns have shifted dramatically as electric vehicle adoption accelerates:

3-Year Depreciation Rates (2025)

Electric Vehicles

  • Tesla Model 3: 35% (strong brand)
  • BMW i4: 42% (premium segment)
  • MG4: 48% (value segment)

Average: 42%

Petrol Vehicles

  • BMW 3 Series: 52% (future uncertainty)
  • Ford Focus: 58% (mass market)
  • Vauxhall Astra: 61% (fleet dumping)

Average: 57%

Tax and Incentive Benefits

Road Tax (VED)

  • Electric vehicles: £0 annually until 2030
  • Petrol vehicles: £165-£545 annually depending on emissions

Company Car Benefits

  • Electric vehicles: 2% BIK rate (2025)
  • Petrol vehicles: 25-37% BIK rate depending on emissions

Congestion and ULEZ Charges

  • Electric vehicles: Exempt from all current charges
  • Petrol vehicles: £15/day ULEZ + £15/day Congestion Charge in London

Total Cost of Ownership: 5-Year Analysis

Family Car Comparison (60,000 miles over 5 years)

Tesla Model 3 (£42,990)

Purchase Price:£42,990
Energy Costs:£3,190
Maintenance:£900
Insurance:£3,750
Road Tax:£0
Total Spent:£50,830
Resale Value:£18,000
Net Cost:£32,830

BMW 320i (£37,905)

Purchase Price:£37,905
Fuel Costs:£8,700
Maintenance:£2,100
Insurance:£3,400
Road Tax:£1,325
Total Spent:£53,430
Resale Value:£15,200
Net Cost:£38,230

Electric Vehicle Saves: £5,400 over 5 years

Break-Even Analysis by Usage

Break-even

When Electric Becomes Cheaper

  • 5,000 miles/year: Break-even at 7 years
  • 10,000 miles/year: Break-even at 4 years
  • 15,000 miles/year: Break-even at 2.5 years
  • 20,000+ miles/year: Break-even at 18 months

Regional Considerations

London and Major Cities

  • ULEZ charges make electric vehicles immediately cost-effective
  • Excellent charging infrastructure
  • Congestion charge exemptions worth £3,900/year for daily commuters

Rural Areas

  • Longer break-even periods due to charging infrastructure gaps
  • Home charging essential for cost benefits
  • Higher purchase prices not offset by urban incentives

Future Outlook

Several factors will further tip the scales towards electric vehicles:

  • Battery costs: Expected to fall another 20% by 2027
  • Petrol taxation: Likely increases to offset lost fuel duty revenue
  • ICE depreciation: Accelerating as 2030 ban approaches
  • Charging infrastructure: Expanding rapidly with lower costs

Recommendations

Choose Electric If You:

  • Drive more than 8,000 miles annually
  • Can charge at home or work
  • Live in or frequently visit ULEZ areas
  • Are a company car driver
  • Plan to keep the vehicle 3+ years

Consider Petrol If You:

  • Drive less than 6,000 miles annually
  • Cannot install home charging
  • Regularly drive long distances without charging stops
  • Change cars frequently (under 2 years)
  • Need maximum towing capacity

The total cost of ownership equation has fundamentally shifted in favour of electric vehicles for most UK drivers in 2025. While upfront costs remain higher, the combination of lower running costs, better residual values, and tax incentives creates compelling savings over typical ownership periods.

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